Board Thread:Debate of The Week/@comment-30105631-20171210013838/@comment-26234016-20171211235217

Anons unite wrote: In my scenario, there is still 1 more evil than townie... so even if you dont know how many more evils there are, it can still be beneficial to shoot.

i stand corrected about the part where it is ALWAYS beneficial to shoot if theres one more evil. but it still is sometimes.

if theres 1 more town than evil, lets just say theres 50% chance of it being a good idea to shoot.

if theres 2 more, let's say its a 90% chance of a good idea to shoot.

assuming theres an equal chance of there being 1 more and 2 more (if you truly have no idea) than the average is more than 50%, so you should still shoot.

and how random are we talking here? if you have NO idea who's evil, not even by scumreading, that must be you not paying attention. if its that late in the game, you should have some leads, come on. 'can still be'

No. If it's can, then you're on my side. Because this debate is asking whether or not it's a good idea. If there were, say, only one other townie and four mafia, maybe you can random. But I'm saying that it isn't a good idea. And if you agree that it is not always beneficial to shoot, you agree with me.

For the other bits, where is you math coming from? I'd like to see equations, alright?

For the last paragraph, yeah, I agree, you should have some leads. But you are random shooting. You have no leads. This is literally why it is called random shooting.