Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-32994909-20190221183650/@comment-35026689-20190221202611

The chance of GF dying to BG is 11/15 * 1/12

Because

3/15 Chance of Guarding maf member (Resulting in no Chance of death)

1/15 Chance of guarding self (Resulting in no chance of death)

11/15 Chance of guarding Anybody else (1/12 Chance of death because GF has 12 targets)

idk if this is correct haw pls help me