Talk:Doctor/@comment-29669939-20160914160540/@comment-33161724-20161010122401

Let's not forget R A N K E D mode, which for some G O D F O R S A K E N reason still has random shooting.

K, let's get the bad guys in a full lobby.

5/15, or 1/3, or .3 repeating, or 33%

33 roles in ToS. Let's assume the Town Supports are Mayor and Ret, the Neutral Killing is WW, and TK is Vet.

Jailor and the above roles are unique, which takes out around (exactly) 4 roles, leaving 29 possible roles.

GF and Mafioso are unique, so that means 27.

27 possible roles for Any.

13 "evil" roles not counting Amnesiac that could turn sour.

So Any has 13/27 chance in this scenario, or around 48%

Now, say Any is an evil role.

6/15, assuming no roles are confirmed, is .4. Luckily vig can't shoot n1.

Let's say Mafia kill n1 and the Any role is, say, SK.

6/13, or 46% chance of shooting n2 an evil role.

Now, let's say Any role is Vampire

7/14, or exactly 50% chance of shooting an evil role.

THAT IS THE MAXIMUM CHANCE OF GETTING AN EVIL ROLE BY RANDOM SHOOTING

50/50 IS NOT A GOOD THING. THINK ABOUT IT.

THAT IS LITERALLY ALL THE UNIQUE ROLES IN ONE FECKIN GAME. (pls no report for evading chat filter that does not exist)

O K.

Say GF and WW are immune, right? Let's also say that Jailor jailed a townie, making them immune for the night.

The chances of k i l l i n g an evil role is 4/14, or 29%

OK, let's see here.

Mayor, Jailor, Ret, and Vet. Vet doesn't alert, and Jailor jails non-uique role.

The chances of killing a unique role are 4/14, the exact same chance of killing an evil role.

Basically, random shooting is stupid and no one should do it.


 * drops mic