Talk:Psychic/@comment-27398195-20180809213433/@comment-36491786-20180809221254

I think you misunderstood the statement, I reworded it to make it more clear in a later edit. I was reffering to the chance of there being exactly one evil, not at least one evil. The 53% is right because you are looking for the probability of either of the remaining two being evil, not just one. That would be 1-(6/14)*(5/13)-(8/14)*(8/13). The probability of all three being evil is (6/14)*(5/13) because one of them is confirmed to be evil, so you just multiply the two chances of each of the individual other two players of being evil.