Talk:Jester/@comment-29711200-20160827081740/@comment-29711200-20160928103200

math.

31 roles cannot be comfirmed so easy. the 2 that can are jailor and mayor, and since jailor might jail evil roles and they lie, it brings it up to 31.5. so jester has got a 1.5 chance of being comfirmed. getting lynched as jester is about 0.75 if evidence is against you. 0.50 if you are random voted. due to having 1.5 chance of being comfirmed, we take 0.50 from it if you are comfirmed. so the tally is:

Proved not comfirmed: 0.75

Proved and comfirmed: 0.25

random not comfirmed: 0.50

random and comfirmed: 0

am i right? i dunno.