Board Thread:Debate of The Week/@comment-28112409-20171101070508/@comment-26234016-20171107220913

ProfessorArceus wrote: Addfire wrote: @Prof

We'll just agree to disagree. If I had a 1/10 chance of dying tomorrow, I'd be quite worried. That's just me, though, I guess. But the fact that there's a 16% chance on night two – night two – and the chance increases by 2%, and then 4%, and then 4% again, and then 10% – isn't good!

And I reiterate: the statistics are just random. No strategy involved. None. How in all hell is that fair? We can only speak from a theoretical point of view. If we involve strategy, we bring a shit ton of swing into it. Okay, so you just explained why we aren't using strategy in our calculations, which I understood, but you still haven't explained why you have a 10% chance of finding the nk with simple RNG.